Project Development & Finance

Competition, Commoditisation & Consolidation

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14 Competition, Commoditisation & Consolidation ● ● Existing markets can at times be unpredictable. Few people, if anyone, expected China's demand to grow as rapidly as it did between 2015 and 2018 (see p5). The contribution that new markets have made to LNG trade since 2008 is shown in the chart above. Volumes have grown from year to year, as has the number of new markets. However, 2018 showed a fall and it is becoming harder to open up new markets as the low- hanging fruit is picked. Almost all the countries above were existing gas markets and so had infrastructure and institutions already in place. What can be said with reasonable certainty is that the number of LNG-importing countries will continue to grow and LNG volumes will continue to rise. Even in 2018, the decline of imports into new markets was more than offset by growth in China and other established markets. Source: GIIGNL LNG imports into new markets, 2008-2018 (million tonnes) Panama Bangladesh Malta Poland Jamaica Finland Colombia Pakistan Jordan Egypt Lithuania Singapore Malaysia Israel Indonesia Thailand Netherlands UAE Kuwait Chile Canada Brazil Argentina 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2018 2017 Million tonnes

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